August Holmgren vs Kaichi UchidaLugano CH Round of 32

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#143ATP
1566ELO
1517Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$646kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#257ATP
1355ELO
1331Hard ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Holmgren A.
7-6 5-7 6-2
Uchida K.
Holmgren A.
712562
Uchida K.
610721

August Holmgren defeated Kaichi Uchida 7-6 5-7 6-2 in the Lugano CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — August Holmgren came in ranked #143.

Key context

  • Match story: August Holmgren closed it out in three sets, 7–6 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Holmgren A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Uchida K.

Uchida K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Holmgren A.

Serve advantage — Holmgren A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
8
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
73
Break points won·Even
0
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
3
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+185 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1331
7.2Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1355
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.1
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
91

Holmgren A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Uchida K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast