Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey RublevDubai Semi-final

Dubai · ATP · Semi-final
#57ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Griekspoor T.
7-5 7-6
Rublev A.
Griekspoor T.
7782
Rublev A.
5660

Tallon Griekspoor defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 7-6 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Tallon Griekspoor claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR16clayAndrey Rublev6-2 6-4
2023-06-19HalleQFgrassAndrey Rublev3-6 6-3 6-4
2023-02-20DohaR16hardAndrey Rublev1-6 6-1 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Griekspoor T.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Griekspoor T.Rublev A.
51
Serve
55
0
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.7
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
34
72
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1777
Surface ELO
5.6+72 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1789
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
7.3
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.4
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.4
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
95

Griekspoor T.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%