Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack DraperDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#131ATP
1822ELO
1783Hard ELO
$305kYTD
$8.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWWW
Rinderknech A.
7-5 6-7 6-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
76462
Draper J.
57741

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Jack Draper 7-5 6-7 6-4 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jack Draper came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Arthur Rinderknech claimed a first win over Jack Draper in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-31Paris MastersR64hardJack Draper6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rinderknech A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Draper J.

Draper J.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rinderknech A.Draper J.
50
Serve
1
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
32%
33%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.6
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
6.4+35 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1822
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
97

Rinderknech A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 42 games (7d) · Draper J.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%