Jan Choinski vs Jesper De JongDubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#75ATP
1686ELO
1571Hard ELO
$204kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Choinski J.
6-1 7-6
De Jong J.
Choinski J.
6772
De Jong J.
1640

Jan Choinski defeated Jesper De Jong 6-1 7-6 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73.

Key context

  • Match story: Jan Choinski came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Choinski J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Choinski J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Choinski J.De Jong J.
Serve
23
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
55
56
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Clear edge
20
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
88
69
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
41
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1571
Surface ELO
5.6+36 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
1.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
55
78

Choinski J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d) · De Jong J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%