Cristian Garin vs Juan Manuel CerundoloSantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#125ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
clay
#42ATP
1790ELO
1762Clay ELO
$752kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Garin C.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Cerundolo J.
Garin C.
3662
Cerundolo J.
6331

Cristian Garin defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Manuel Cerundolo came in ranked #42, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Garin C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Cerundolo J.

Cerundolo J.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Garin C.Cerundolo J.
Serve
19
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
85
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
82
Break points won·Dominant
45
80
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1659
Surface ELO
5.0+103 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1667
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1790
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
3.8
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cerundolo J.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 36%