Petr Nesterov vs Murphy Cassone — Lugano CH Round of 32

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
BUL
Petr Nesterov
#369ATP
1456ELO
1430Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
USA
Murphy Cassone
#289ATP
1429ELO
1393Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Nesterov P.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Cassone M.
Nesterov P.
77462
Cassone M.
63641

Petr Nesterov defeated Murphy Cassone 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Lugano CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Murphy Cassone came in ranked #289, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nesterov P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cassone M.

Cassone M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Nesterov P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Nesterov P.Cassone M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nesterov P.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 133 days (−1.5)
Cassone M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
2.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.3
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nesterov P.Cassone M.
Freshness·Slight edge
98
87

Nesterov P.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Cassone M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Piros Z.[3]
Schwaerzler J.
7-54-66-3
Semi-finals
Piros Z.[3]
Brunold M.
7-56-3
Schwaerzler J.
Dodig M.
7-646-4
Quarter-finals
Brunold M.
Huesler M.
6-46-4
Piros Z.[3]
Mrva M.
6-46-2
Dodig M.
Budkov Kjaer N.[1]
7-647-5
Schwaerzler J.
Stricker D.
6-46-3
R16
Schwaerzler J.
Brunclik P.
7-623-67-64
Stricker D.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-2
Mrva M.
Mmoh M.
1-66-46-4
Brunold M.
Holmgren A.[8]
7-57-63
Huesler M.
Glinka D.[2]
7-656-4
Piros Z.[3]
Gakhov I.
7-616-3
Dodig M.
Skatov T.[7]
6-34-66-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[1]
Nesterov P.
7-56-1
R32
Budkov Kjaer N.[1]
Bernet H.
6-16-4
Nesterov P.
Cassone M.
7-634-66-4
Dodig M.
Forejtek J.
6-26-4
Skatov T.[7]
Gentzsch T.
6-37-5
Brunclik P.
Sachko V.[4]
7-656-2
Schwaerzler J.
Basic M.
6-36-3
Stricker D.
Grenier H.[6]
6-46-3
Mrva M.
Rybakov A.
6-42-67-5
Mmoh M.
Bertola R.
6-46-726-4
Piros Z.[3]
Squire H.
7-57-65
Holmgren A.[8]
Uchida K.
7-6105-76-2
Brunold M.
Knaff A.
7-56-726-3
Glinka D.[2]
Dietrich D.
6-36-4
Huesler M.
Topo M.
2-66-40-0
Moro Canas A.
Fatic N.
2-66-37-63
Gakhov I.
Piraino G.
2-66-27-66