Alejandro Moro Canas vs Nerman FaticLugano CH Round of 32

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#233ATP
1526ELO
1519Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#373ATP
1496ELO
1417Hard ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Moro Canas A.
2-6 6-3 7-6
Fatic N.
Moro Canas A.
26772
Fatic N.
63631

Alejandro Moro Canas defeated Nerman Fatic 2-6 6-3 7-6 in the Lugano CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Moro Canas came in ranked #233, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alejandro Moro Canas extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-15MunichQ2clayAlejandro Moro Canas6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Moro Canas A.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Fatic N.

Fatic N.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moro Canas A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
24
24
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
63
Break points won·Even
35
36
Deciding sets·Even
20
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.5+102 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1417
5.9Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1496
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
3.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Moro Canas A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast