Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander BublikDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#58ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Griekspoor T.
6-3 7-6
Bublik A.
Griekspoor T.
6772
Bublik A.
3640

Tallon Griekspoor defeated Alexander Bublik 6-3 7-6 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 32. Tallon Griekspoor claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26DubaiR16hardAlexander Bublik7-6(8) 7-6(2)
2022-10-03AstanaR32hardAlexander Bublik6-0 4-6 6-3
2022-01-31MontpellierR32hardAlexander Bublik7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2020-03-06Davis Cup QLS R1: KAZ vs NEDRRhardAlexander Bublik7-6(4) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Griekspoor T.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Griekspoor T.Bublik A.
51
Serve
65
0
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
9.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
34
67
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
97
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1777
Surface ELO
5.8+60 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1789
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1889
0.0
H2H
10.0
3.9
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
70

Griekspoor T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%