Mika Brunold vs August Holmgren — Lugano CH Round of 16

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
SUI
Mika Brunold
#408ATP
1466ELO
1443Hard ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
DEN8
August Holmgren
#143ATP
1566ELO
1517Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$646kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWL
Brunold M.
7-5 7-6
Holmgren A.
Brunold M.
7772
Holmgren A.
5630

Mika Brunold defeated August Holmgren 7-5 7-6 in the Lugano CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — August Holmgren came in ranked #143.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Brunold M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Holmgren A.

Holmgren A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Brunold M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Brunold M.Holmgren A.
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.0
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Brunold M.Holmgren A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
43
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
90
Break points won·Clear edge
15
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
46
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Brunold M.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Holmgren A.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1443
Surface ELO
5.7+74 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1466
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1566
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
2.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Brunold M.Holmgren A.
Freshness·
—
83

Holmgren A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Piros Z.[3]
Schwaerzler J.
7-54-66-3
Semi-finals
Piros Z.[3]
Brunold M.
7-56-3
Schwaerzler J.
Dodig M.
7-646-4
Quarter-finals
Brunold M.
Huesler M.
6-46-4
Piros Z.[3]
Mrva M.
6-46-2
Dodig M.
Budkov Kjaer N.[1]
7-647-5
Schwaerzler J.
Stricker D.
6-46-3
R16
Schwaerzler J.
Brunclik P.
7-623-67-64
Stricker D.
Moro Canas A.
6-46-2
Mrva M.
Mmoh M.
1-66-46-4
Brunold M.
Holmgren A.[8]
7-57-63
Huesler M.
Glinka D.[2]
7-656-4
Piros Z.[3]
Gakhov I.
7-616-3
Dodig M.
Skatov T.[7]
6-34-66-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[1]
Nesterov P.
7-56-1
R32
Budkov Kjaer N.[1]
Bernet H.
6-16-4
Nesterov P.
Cassone M.
7-634-66-4
Dodig M.
Forejtek J.
6-26-4
Skatov T.[7]
Gentzsch T.
6-37-5
Brunclik P.
Sachko V.[4]
7-656-2
Schwaerzler J.
Basic M.
6-36-3
Stricker D.
Grenier H.[6]
6-46-3
Mrva M.
Rybakov A.
6-42-67-5
Mmoh M.
Bertola R.
6-46-726-4
Piros Z.[3]
Squire H.
7-57-65
Holmgren A.[8]
Uchida K.
7-6105-76-2
Brunold M.
Knaff A.
7-56-726-3
Glinka D.[2]
Dietrich D.
6-36-4
Huesler M.
Topo M.
2-66-40-0
Moro Canas A.
Fatic N.
2-66-37-63
Gakhov I.
Piraino G.
2-66-27-66