Emilio Nava vs Matteo BerrettiniSantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#86ATP
1704ELO
1686Clay ELO
$533kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
clay
#51ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Nava E.
6-3 6-4
Berrettini M.
Nava E.
662
Berrettini M.
340

Emilio Nava defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-4 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, but Emilio Nava had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 7 on clay.

Key context

  • Match story: Emilio Nava closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nava E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nava E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Nava E.Berrettini M.
23
Serve
51
3
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.5
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
100
Break points won·Dominant
17
53
Deciding sets·Even
89
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1686
Surface ELO
6.5+104 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
3.5
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
73

Nava E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 36%