Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia BellucciAcapulco Quarter-final

Acapulco · ATP · Quarter-final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Tiafoe F.
6-3 6-4
Bellucci M.
Tiafoe F.
662
Bellucci M.
340

Frances Tiafoe defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-3 6-4 in the Acapulco quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayFrances Tiafoe6-3 3-6 6-7(6) 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Bellucci M.
38
Serve
0
37
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
60
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
57
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+184 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1678
7.6Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1720
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%