Jannik Sinner vs Alexei PopyrinDoha Round of 16

Doha · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Sinner J.
6-3 7-5
Popyrin A.
Sinner J.
672
Popyrin A.
350

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3 7-5 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11Rome MastersR32clayJannik Sinner6-2 6-0
2025-08-25US OpenR64hardJannik Sinner6-3 6-2 6-2
2021-05-03Madrid MastersR32clayAlexei Popyrin7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Popyrin A.
100
Serve
40
100
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
81%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Service points won·Even
73%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
75%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.1
11.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
59
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
100
6
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+583 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1681
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1741
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.1
Surface form
0.0
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 11
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.1
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
97

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%