Tommy Paul vs Learner TienDelray Beach Semi-final

Delray Beach · ATP · Semi-final
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Paul T.
4-6 6-4 6-3
Tien L.
Paul T.
4662
Tien L.
6431

Tommy Paul defeated Learner Tien 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the Delray Beach semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Tien L.
71
Serve
32
54
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
8.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
90
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Even
87
83
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
96
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1881
Surface ELO
5.2+23 Hard Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
87

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tien L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast