Maria Sara Popa vs Lucia Natal — W15 Antalya Round of 32

W15 Antalya · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ROU
Maria Sara Popa
#461WTA
1412ELO
1395Clay ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
clay
ESP
Lucia Natal
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLW
Popa M.
6-2 6-1
Natal L.
Popa M.
662
Natal L.
21–

Maria Sara Popa defeated Lucia Natal 6-2 6-1 in the W15 Antalya round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Maria Sara Popa came in defending the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Popa M.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Natal L.

Natal L.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Popa M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Popa M.Natal L.
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
47%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
45%
32%
Service points won·Clear edge
55%
42%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
36%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
7.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Popa M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Natal L.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
5.2
0.0
Win streak
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Popa M.Natal L.
Freshness·
86
—

Popa M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Zolotareva A.
Vargova N.
6-37-65
Lukas T.
Pedone G.
6-16-4
Semi-finals
Vargova N.
Vladson L.
6-47-66
Zolotareva A.
Kotliar Y.
7-624-66-1
Pedone G.
Voracek E.
6-33-66-2
Lukas T.
Prisacariu A.
4-67-56-4
Quarter-finals
Vargova N.
Lodikova D.
6-15-2
Zolotareva A.
Turini V.
6-44-66-4
Vladson L.
Bertacchi A.
7-54-66-1
Kotliar Y.
Gandolfi F.
6-06-1
Pedone G.
Vergara Rivera A.
6-06-4
Voracek E.
Zantedeschi A.
6-36-1
Lukas T.
Astakhova D.
6-16-3
Prisacariu A.
Simionescu D.
6-06-3
R16
Turini V.
Meliss V.
6-46-4
Bertacchi A.
Voracek E.
4-67-56-3
Kotliar Y.
Karunaratne A.
6-40-67-5
Gandolfi F.
Ganz F.
6-756-36-1
Zolotareva A.
Ricci B.
4-66-37-5
Vargova N.
Shapatava S.
6-46-0
Lodikova D.
Gennaro C.
6-46-2
Vladson L.
Schuknecht L.
6-26-0
Lukas T.
Kotliar Y.
6-43-66-4
Prisacariu A.
Popa M.
3-67-56-1
Zantedeschi A.
Breaz A.
6-36-3
Vergara Rivera A.
Korokozidi E.
6-21-66-4
Voracek E.
Stoiber R.
3-66-46-1
Simionescu D.
Senic N.
7-57-5
Pedone G.
De Koning R.
6-16-3
Astakhova D.
Cvetkovic A.
6-25-76-4
R32
Vladson L.
Bertoldo J.
6-46-3
Ricci B.
Zhenikhova S.
6-16-0
Ganz F.
Katsumi N.
6-30-66-4
Voracek E.
Nepliy E.
7-56-1
Lodikova D.
Kovacevic T.
7-56-3
Bertacchi A.
Tatu A.
6-47-5
Schuknecht L.
Weissenboeck J.
6-16-3
Shapatava S.
Kawamura M.
6-26-2
Karunaratne A.
Herrmann S.
6-26-3
Kotliar Y.
Kurt I.
7-56-1
Gandolfi F.
Polat Z.
6-16-1
Turini V.
Yoruk I.
6-27-5
Gennaro C.
Kaynak M.
6-16-1
Zolotareva A.
De Koning R.
6-17-64
Vargova N.
Vlajic T.
6-06-3
Meliss V.
Milic E.
6-46-4
Cvetkovic A.
Roura Llaverias R.
6-26-4
Zantedeschi A.
Rasim M.
6-16-0
Pedone G.
Cakil D.
6-16-0
Prisacariu A.
Miskovic D.
6-46-4
Korokozidi E.
Cinalli L.
6-46-1
Breaz A.
Michalkova B.
5-76-16-1
Lukas T.
Torres Murcia M.
6-06-0
Vergara Rivera A.
Mrazikova K.
2-66-46-2
Astakhova D.
Kawamura M.
6-06-4
Simionescu D.
Stankovic A.
6-26-3
Voracek E.
Ulueren S.
6-16-1
Popa M.
Natal L.
6-26-1
Stoiber R.
Huang Y.
6-27-5
Senic N.
Horvit M.
6-26-1
Kotliar Y.
Oana A.
6-46-3
De Koning R.
Bulatova A.
7-656-706-1