Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinner — Doha Quarter-final

Doha · ATP · Quarter-final
Jakub Mensik
CZE6
Jakub Mensik
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
Jannik Sinner
ITA2
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Mensik J.
7-6 2-6 6-3
Sinner J.
Mensik J.
77262
Sinner J.
63631

Jakub Mensik defeated Jannik Sinner 7-6 2-6 6-3 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jakub Mensik closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Sinner J.serving95% hold

wins 75% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Sinner J.
42
Serve
100
51
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mensik J.Sinner J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
59%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
77%
Aces / match·Clear edge
12.0
9.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mensik J.Sinner J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
100
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
77
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mensik J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Sinner J.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.3Hard Elo 1893
Surface ELO
9.7+370 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2320
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
9.1
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mensik J.Sinner J.
Freshness·Dominant
86
59

Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fils A.
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rublev A.[5]
7-636-4
Fils A.
Mensik J.[6]
6-47-64
Quarter-finals
Mensik J.[6]
Sinner J.[2]
7-632-66-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Khachanov K.[7]
6-736-46-3
Fils A.
Lehecka J.[8]
6-36-3
Rublev A.[5]
Tsitsipas S.
6-37-62
R16
Mensik J.[6]
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Khachanov K.[7]
Fucsovics M.
6-24-66-4
Fils A.
Halys Q.
6-17-67
Sinner J.[2]
Popyrin A.
6-37-5
Rublev A.[5]
Marozsan F.
6-26-4
Lehecka J.[8]
Bergs Z.
6-26-1
Alcaraz C.[1]
Royer V.
6-27-5
Tsitsipas S.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-36-4
R32
Sinner J.[2]
Machac T.
6-16-4
Royer V.
Herbert P.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.
Echargui M.
6-46-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rinderknech A.
6-47-65
Medvedev D.[4]
Shang J.
6-46-2
Marozsan F.
Humbert U.
6-36-1
Mensik J.[6]
Choinski J.
6-766-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Habib H.
6-36-3
Zhang Z.
Carballes Baena R.
6-46-4
Popyrin A.
Zayid M.
6-06-2
Fils A.
Majchrzak K.
6-756-36-4
Lehecka J.[8]
Brooksby J.
6-36-3
Halys Q.
Carreno Busta P.
4-67-56-3
Khachanov K.[7]
Mochizuki S.
6-13-66-4
Rublev A.[5]
De Jong J.
6-46-3
Bergs Z.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-36-756-4