Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniil MedvedevDoha Round of 16

Doha · ATP · Round of 16
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Tsitsipas S.
6-3 6-4
Medvedev D.
Tsitsipas S.
662
Medvedev D.
340

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 10–4, defending last year's quarter-final. Stefanos Tsitsipas narrowed the head-to-head to 10–5.

Key context

Head to head

410
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-6(3) 6-3
2023-10-23ViennaSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 7-6(6)
2023-05-08Rome MastersSFclayDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-5
2022-11-14Tour FinalsRRhardStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-7(11) 7-6(1)
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersSFhardStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(6) 3-6 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 4-6 6-4 6-1
2021-05-31Roland GarrosQFclayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 7-6(3) 7-5
2021-02-08Australian OpenSFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-2 7-5
2019-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(5) 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-6(5) 7-5
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev6-2 1-6 6-4
2018-10-22BaselQFhardDaniil Medvedev6-4 3-6 6-3
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3
2018-03-19Miami MastersR128hardDaniil Medvedev2-6 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Medvedev D.
57
Serve
47
39
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.3
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
96
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
77
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1803
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1977
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
7.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
85

Tsitsipas S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%