Katherine Sebov vs Ashlyn KruegerMidland 125 Round of 32

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#244WTA
1407ELO
1401Hard ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#102WTA
1791ELO
1723Hard ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sebov K.
7-5 2-6 7-5
Krueger A.
Sebov K.
7272
Krueger A.
5651

Katherine Sebov defeated Ashlyn Krueger 7-5 2-6 7-5 in the Midland 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ashlyn Krueger came in ranked #102.

Key context

  • Match story: Katherine Sebov closed it out in three sets, 7–5 2–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sebov K.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Krueger A.

Krueger A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sebov K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sebov K.Krueger A.
Serve
37
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
80%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
79
Break points saved·Dominant
53
87
Break points won·Even
83
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
92
Tiebreaks·
66

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1401
Surface ELO
7.7+323 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1407
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
2.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
83
83

Sebov K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Krueger A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast