Karen Khachanov vs Shintaro MochizukiDoha Round of 32

Doha · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Khachanov K.
6-1 3-6 6-4
Mochizuki S.
Khachanov K.
6362
Mochizuki S.
1641

Karen Khachanov defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 3-6 6-4 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR64grassKaren Khachanov1-6 7-6(7) 4-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve advantage — Khachanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Mochizuki S.
61
Serve
39
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
52%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
45%
Service points won·Clear edge
68%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
70%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
52
Break points saved·Dominant
99
74
Break points won·Dominant
81
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
46
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+358 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1425
9.0Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
0.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 11
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
77

Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d) · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%