Elvina Kalieva vs Anna Sinclair Rogers — Midland 125 Round of 32

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Elvina Kalieva
#136WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
USA
Anna Sinclair Rogers
1283ELO
1270Hard ELO
28 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLW
Kalieva E.
6-4 6-2
Rogers A.
Kalieva E.
662
Rogers A.
42–

Elvina Kalieva defeated Anna Sinclair Rogers 6-4 6-2 in the Midland 125 round of 32 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kalieva E.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Rogers A.

Rogers A.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Kalieva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kalieva E.Rogers A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
69%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalieva E.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Rogers A.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+270 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1270
8.6Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1283
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalieva E.Rogers A.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
83

Kalieva E.: 18 days rest · Rogers A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Charaeva A.
Guo H.
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Charaeva A.
Vidmanova D.
3-66-36-4
Guo H.
Stoiana M.
7-646-727-5
Quarter-finals
Stoiana M.
Sebov K.
6-36-4
Guo H.
Kalieva E.
6-22-67-68
Charaeva A.
Hibino N.
7-656-3
Vidmanova D.
Frey A.
6-26-2
R16
Sebov K.
Cross K.
6-26-2
Stoiana M.
Brengle M.
6-26-2
Kalieva E.
Hosogi S.
6-26-2
Charaeva A.
You X.
6-47-64
Hibino N.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-4
Frey A.
Day K.
6-43-66-3
Vidmanova D.
Lee G.
6-26-2
Guo H.
Jokic K.
6-11-0
R32
Lee G.
Ma L.
6-26-3
Kalieva E.
Rogers A.
6-46-2
Hosogi S.
Liu C.
3-66-16-3
Sebov K.
Krueger A.
7-52-67-5
Cross K.
Brace C.
6-45-76-4
Jokic K.
Jones E.
6-42-66-2
Guo H.
Chirico L.
3-66-46-2
You X.
Karatancheva L.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Ansari C.
6-25-76-4
Frey A.
Mandlik E.
7-56-2
Day K.
Coleman E.
6-46-2
Brengle M.
Scott K.
6-36-2
Stoiana M.
Chang H.
3-67-696-2
Charaeva A.
Xu S.
6-06-4
Osuigwe W.
Hewitt D.
6-46-3
Vidmanova D.
Sawashiro K.
6-26-1