Andrey Rublev vs Jesper De JongDoha Round of 32

Doha · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Rublev A.
6-4 6-3
De Jong J.
Rublev A.
662
De Jong J.
430

Andrey Rublev defeated Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-3 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaR32clayAndrey Rublev6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.De Jong J.
55
Serve
23
52
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
58%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Dominant
72
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+242 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1607
8.1Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1711
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
1.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.7
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
90

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Jong J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%