Elvina Kalieva vs Sakura Hosogi — Midland 125 Round of 16

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
USA
Elvina Kalieva
#136WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
JPN
Sakura Hosogi
#360WTA
1358ELO
1344Hard ELO
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
Kalieva E.
6-2 6-2
Hosogi S.
Kalieva E.
662
Hosogi S.
22–

Elvina Kalieva defeated Sakura Hosogi 6-2 6-2 in the Midland 125 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Elvina Kalieva came in ranked #136.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kalieva E.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Hosogi S.

Hosogi S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kalieva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kalieva E.Hosogi S.
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalieva E.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Hosogi S.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+196 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1344
8.0Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1358
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalieva E.Hosogi S.
Freshness·
100
—

Kalieva E.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Charaeva A.
Guo H.
6-47-64
Semi-finals
Charaeva A.
Vidmanova D.
3-66-36-4
Guo H.
Stoiana M.
7-646-727-5
Quarter-finals
Stoiana M.
Sebov K.
6-36-4
Guo H.
Kalieva E.
6-22-67-68
Charaeva A.
Hibino N.
7-656-3
Vidmanova D.
Frey A.
6-26-2
R16
Sebov K.
Cross K.
6-26-2
Stoiana M.
Brengle M.
6-26-2
Kalieva E.
Hosogi S.
6-26-2
Charaeva A.
You X.
6-47-64
Hibino N.
Osuigwe W.
6-26-4
Frey A.
Day K.
6-43-66-3
Vidmanova D.
Lee G.
6-26-2
Guo H.
Jokic K.
6-11-0
R32
Lee G.
Ma L.
6-26-3
Kalieva E.
Rogers A.
6-46-2
Hosogi S.
Liu C.
3-66-16-3
Sebov K.
Krueger A.
7-52-67-5
Cross K.
Brace C.
6-45-76-4
Jokic K.
Jones E.
6-42-66-2
Guo H.
Chirico L.
3-66-46-2
You X.
Karatancheva L.
6-26-3
Hibino N.
Ansari C.
6-25-76-4
Frey A.
Mandlik E.
7-56-2
Day K.
Coleman E.
6-46-2
Brengle M.
Scott K.
6-36-2
Stoiana M.
Chang H.
3-67-696-2
Charaeva A.
Xu S.
6-06-4
Osuigwe W.
Hewitt D.
6-46-3
Vidmanova D.
Sawashiro K.
6-26-1