Hugo Gaston vs Sebastian OfnerLille CH Round of 32

Lille CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#118ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#110ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
Gaston H.
6-2 3-6 6-4
Ofner S.
Gaston H.
6362
Ofner S.
2641

Hugo Gaston defeated Sebastian Ofner 6-2 3-6 6-4 in the Lille CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #110, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Hugo Gaston claimed a first win over Sebastian Ofner in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Gaston closed it out in three sets, 6–2 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR128claySebastian Ofner6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Ofner S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
7.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
73
70
Break points saved·Even
91
93
Break points won·Clear edge
57
43
Deciding sets·Even
78
82
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1628
Surface ELO
5.1+27 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1713
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
1.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
69

Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast