Alina Charaeva vs Hanyu GuoMidland 125 Final

Midland 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#118WTA
1694ELO
1605Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#159WTA
1625ELO
1592Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLL
Charaeva A.
6-4 7-6
Guo H.
Charaeva A.
6772
Guo H.
464

Alina Charaeva defeated Hanyu Guo 6-4 7-6 in the Midland 125 final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alina Charaeva came in ranked #118.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Charaeva A.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Guo H.

Guo H.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Charaeva A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
58
Break points saved·Dominant
75
25
Break points won·Slight edge
85
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
69
93
Tiebreaks·
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.9+13 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1592
5.6Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1625
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.3
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Charaeva A.: 17 days rest · Guo H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast