Pablo Carreno Busta vs Billy HarrisDoha Qualifying Round 2

Doha · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#155ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
Carreno Busta P.
7-5 6-3
Harris B.
Carreno Busta P.
762
Harris B.
530

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Billy Harris 7-5 6-3 in the Doha qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Harris B.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Harris B.
21
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
91
Break points won·Dominant
61
10
Deciding sets·Even
80
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+271 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1473
8.3Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1508
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
1.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
0.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
95

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Harris B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%