Carlos Alcaraz vs Valentin RoyerDoha Round of 16

Doha · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#75ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-2 7-5
Royer V.
Alcaraz C.
672
Royer V.
250

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Valentin Royer 6-2 7-5 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Royer V.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Royer V.
74
Serve
30
95
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
35%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
94
Break points won·Dominant
99
30
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
76
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+503 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1585
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1641
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
0.7
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
53

Royer V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%