Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur FilsDoha Final

Doha · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#24ATP
2001ELO
1930Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$7.9MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWW
Alcaraz C.
6-2 6-1
Fils A.
Alcaraz C.
662
Fils A.
210

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Arthur Fils 6-2 6-1 in the Doha final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaSFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-4
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersQFclayCarlos Alcaraz4-6 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Fils A.

Fils A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Fils A.
74
Serve
56
95
Return
30

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
58%
Service points won·Even
68%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
68%
69%
Aces / match·Even
4.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
99
70
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+159 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1930
7.8Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 2001
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
5.5
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Fils A.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 39%