Ella Seidel vs Anastasia PotapovaDubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#100WTA
1616ELO
1614Hard ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Seidel E.
6-4 6-3
Potapova A.
Seidel E.
662
Potapova A.
43

Ella Seidel defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-3 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Ella Seidel claimed a first win over Anastasia Potapova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ella Seidel closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-03Cluj-NapocaQFhardAnastasia Potapova6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Seidel E.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Seidel E.Potapova A.
20
Serve
11
9
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
5.0
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
89
Break points won·Clear edge
70
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1614
Surface ELO
6.9+191 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1616
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
99

Seidel E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast