Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra MarcinkoDubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#47WTA
1745ELO
1639Hard ELO
$468kYTD
$956kCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Sasnovich A.
6-4 6-4
Marcinko P.
Sasnovich A.
662
Marcinko P.
44

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Petra Marcinko 6-4 6-4 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Petra Marcinko came in ranked #47.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Marcinko P.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Marcinko P.
37
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
47%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
72
Break points saved·Dominant
79
54
Break points won·Even
93
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
93
Tiebreaks·
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.3+58 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1639
6.0Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
87

Sasnovich A.: 17 days rest · Marcinko P.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast