Jessica Pegula vs Varvara GrachevaDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Pegula J.
6-4 6-0
Gracheva V.
Pegula J.
662
Gracheva V.
400

Jessica Pegula defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-0 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Gracheva V.
68
Serve
3
73
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
76
Break points won·Clear edge
99
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+295 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1763
8.7Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1810
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
6.7
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Pegula J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw