Varvara Gracheva vs Magdalena FrechDubai Qualifying Round 2

Dubai · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#44WTA
1725ELO
1700Hard ELO
$659kYTD
$4.8MCAREER
28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
Gracheva V.
6-4 4-6 7-5
Frech M.
Gracheva V.
6472
Frech M.
4651

Varvara Gracheva defeated Magdalena Frech 6-4 4-6 7-5 in the Dubai qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Varvara Gracheva came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Varvara Gracheva extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-20MiamiR32hardVarvara Gracheva6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Frech M.

Frech M.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gracheva V.Frech M.
3
Serve
32
27
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
74
55
Break points saved·Even
76
76
Break points won·Clear edge
87
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
71
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+63 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1700
5.8Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1725
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Frech M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast