Hailey Baptiste vs Shuai ZhangDubai Qualifying Round 1

Dubai · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#30WTA
1844ELO
1781Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$3.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#64WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
Baptiste H.
6-4 6-4
Zhang S.
Baptiste H.
662
Zhang S.
44

Hailey Baptiste defeated Shuai Zhang 6-4 6-4 in the Dubai qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Hailey Baptiste came in ranked #30. Hailey Baptiste claimed a first win over Shuai Zhang in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Hailey Baptiste edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardShuai Zhang6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baptiste H.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Zhang S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Baptiste H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Baptiste H.Zhang S.
40
Serve
17
18
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
62
Break points saved·Dominant
93
55
Break points won·Even
79
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+86 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1695
6.6Overall Elo 1844
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1718
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.5
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Zhang S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast