Alex De Minaur vs Botic Van De ZandschulpRotterdam Quarter-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Quarter-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
De Minaur A.
3-6 7-6 7-5
Van De Zandschulp B.
De Minaur A.
37772
Van De Zandschulp B.
66451

Alex De Minaur defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 3-6 7-6 7-5 in the Rotterdam quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DohaR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR128hardAlex De Minaur6-1 7-5 6-4
2022-11-22Davis Cup Finals QF: AUS vs NEDRRhardAlex De Minaur5-7 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Van De Zandschulp B.
48
Serve
41
80
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
46%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
77
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
97
68
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+225 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1711
7.7Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1743
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.4
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
89

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%