Alex De Minaur vs Stan WawrinkaRotterdam Round of 16

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 16
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#109ATP
1678ELO
1664Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$38MCAREER
41 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLL
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-2
Wawrinka S.
De Minaur A.
662
Wawrinka S.
420

Alex De Minaur defeated Stan Wawrinka 6-4 6-2 in the Rotterdam round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlex De Minaur6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Wawrinka S.

Wawrinka S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Wawrinka S.
48
Serve
48
80
Return
8

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
33%
Break points saved·Even
67%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
64
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
71
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+272 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1664
8.8Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1678
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
4.3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
91

De Minaur A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Wawrinka S.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%