Miomir Kecmanovic vs Tommy PaulDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#50ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$756kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Kecmanovic M.
5-7 6-4 6-4
Paul T.
Kecmanovic M.
5662
Paul T.
7441

Miomir Kecmanovic defeated Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-4 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's semi-final. Miomir Kecmanovic extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14StockholmQFhardTommy Paul7-6(9) 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 3-6 2-6 7-6(7) 6-0
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR64hardTommy Paul7-5 7-6(2)
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardMiomir Kecmanovic7-6(7) 7-5 7-6(8)
2020-02-10New YorkR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kecmanovic M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Kecmanovic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kecmanovic M.Paul T.
34
Serve
71
45
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
67
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
69
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
7.3+172 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1949
3.3
H2H
6.7
2.4
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
86

Kecmanovic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast