Matilde Jorge vs Kaitlin Quevedo — Oeiras 125 Indoor 1 Round of 16

Oeiras 125 Indoor 1 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
POR
Matilde Jorge
#261WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
ESP
Kaitlin Quevedo
#100WTA
1757ELO
1655Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWW
Jorge M.
7-5 4-6 6-3
Quevedo K.
Jorge M.
7462
Quevedo K.
5631

Matilde Jorge defeated Kaitlin Quevedo 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the Oeiras 125 Indoor 1 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kaitlin Quevedo came in ranked #100.

Key context

  • Match story: Matilde Jorge closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jorge M.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Quevedo K.

Quevedo K.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Jorge M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Jorge M.Quevedo K.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jorge M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Quevedo K.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1442
Surface ELO
7.2+212 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1449
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1757
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jorge M.Quevedo K.
Freshness·
—
69

Quevedo K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Final
Korneeva A.
Vidmanova D.
7-56-1
Semi-finals
Korneeva A.
Jorge M.
6-06-3
Vidmanova D.
Chwalinska M.
6-43-67-65
Quarter-finals
Korneeva A.
Romero Gormaz L.
7-617-64
Jorge M.
Stefanini L.
2-66-17-66
Chwalinska M.
Lamens S.
6-16-2
Vidmanova D.
Galfi D.
6-45-76-1
R16
Romero Gormaz L.
Radivojevic L.
6-46-1
Korneeva A.
Minnen G.
3-66-26-4
Stefanini L.
Golubic V.
6-05-77-5
Jorge M.
Quevedo K.
7-54-66-3
Chwalinska M.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-16-1
Lamens S.
Shymanovich I.
6-46-0
Vidmanova D.
Jorge F.
0-66-07-5
Galfi D.
Kalinina A.
6-16-2
R32
Golubic V.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-746-4
Korneeva A.
Friedsam A.
3-66-06-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
6-746-36-4
Chwalinska M.
Noha Akugue N.
6-23-66-1
Jorge F.
Klimovicova L.
6-16-2
Kalinina A.
Liang E.
6-16-4
Galfi D.
Crawley F.
6-06-3
Stefanini L.
Voloshchuk A.
6-747-667-64
Jorge M.
Lepchenko V.
6-07-5
Quevedo K.
Tomova V.
6-06-1
Romero Gormaz L.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-46-4
Radivojevic L.
Salkova D.
6-46-3
Minnen G.
Jakupovic D.
6-06-3
Shymanovich I.
Monnet C.
5-76-26-2
Lamens S.
Bolsova A.
6-46-2
Vidmanova D.
Agra Amorim G.
6-06-1