Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael JodarDallas Round of 32

Dallas · ATP · Round of 32
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#26ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Shapovalov D.
6-1 6-2
Jodar R.
Shapovalov D.
662
Jodar R.
120

Denis Shapovalov defeated Rafael Jodar 6-1 6-2 in the Dallas round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #26.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Jodar R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Jodar R.
25
Serve
18
70
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
85
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
91
Break points won·Even
71
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
5.9+98 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1999
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
9.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
79

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Jodar R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast