Marin Cilic vs Learner TienDallas Round of 32

Dallas · ATP · Round of 32
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#17ATP
1941ELO
1904Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.4MCAREER
20 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Cilic M.
7-5 7-6
Tien L.
Cilic M.
7772
Tien L.
5640

Marin Cilic defeated Learner Tien 7-5 7-6 in the Dallas round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Learner Tien came in ranked #17.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Cilic M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Tien L.

Tien L.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cilic M.Tien L.
57
Serve
32
10
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.3
8.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
90
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
41
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1762
Surface ELO
6.5+143 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1800
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1941
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
89

Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tien L.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast