Sebastian Baez vs Ignacio Buse — Buenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
Sebastian Baez
ARG4
Sebastian Baez
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
clay
Ignacio Buse
PER
Ignacio Buse
#34ATP
1822ELO
1786Clay ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Baez S.
6-4 6-3
Buse I.
Baez S.
662
Buse I.
430

Sebastian Baez defeated Ignacio Buse 6-4 6-3 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Ignacio Buse came in ranked #34, but Sebastian Baez had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Buse I.

Buse I.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Buse I.
1
Serve
41
44
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Buse I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Buse I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
63
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Dominant
86
28
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Buse I.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 91 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
4.9+69 Clay Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1822
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Buse I.
Freshness·Even
94
91

Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Buse I.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%
Final
Cerundolo F.[1]
Darderi L.[2]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Darderi L.[2]
Baez S.[4]
7-626-1
Cerundolo F.[1]
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Cerundolo F.[1]
Kopriva V.
6-46-3
Baez S.[4]
Ugo Carabelli C.[6]
7-656-2
Darderi L.[2]
Martinez P.
7-56-1
Etcheverry T.[7]
Tabilo A.
1-66-36-4
R16
Baez S.[4]
Buse I.
6-46-3
Ugo Carabelli C.[6]
Navone M.
6-27-5
Kopriva V.
Berrettini M.[8]
6-46-3
Cerundolo F.[1]
Dellien H.
6-07-66
Etcheverry T.[7]
Burruchaga R.
7-656-736-4
Tabilo A.
Fonseca J.[3]
6-33-67-5
Darderi L.[2]
Barrios Vera T.
6-16-3
Martinez P.
Cerundolo J.
7-656-4
R32
Barrios Vera T.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-5
Tabilo A.
Diaz Acosta F.
7-656-3
Buse I.
Passaro F.
5-77-56-4
Dellien H.
Dzumhur D.
6-46-1
Berrettini M.[8]
Coria F.
7-57-5
Navone M.
Nava E.
6-26-1
Ugo Carabelli C.[6]
Comesana F.
6-47-63
Kopriva V.
Barrena A.
6-43-66-4
Cerundolo J.
Altmaier D.[5]
6-26-2
Etcheverry T.[7]
Pellegrino A.
6-36-4
Martinez P.
Midon L.
6-46-1
Burruchaga R.
Djere L.
6-26-4