Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alexei PopyrinRotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
#4ATP
1958ELO
1932Hard ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Auger Aliassime F.
7-5 6-3
Popyrin A.
Auger Aliassime F.
762
Popyrin A.
530

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Alexei Popyrin 7-5 6-3 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Felix Auger Aliassime came in ranked #4, defending last year's round of 32. Felix Auger Aliassime claimed a first win over Alexei Popyrin in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08Rome MastersR64clayAlexei Popyrin6-4 4-6 7-5
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardAlexei Popyrin6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Auger Aliassime F.serving96% hold

wins 77% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Auger Aliassime F.Popyrin A.
74
Serve
40
44
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
70%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
11.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
59
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
50
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+252 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1681
8.2Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1741
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
0.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 9
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
64
98

Auger Aliassime F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 57 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%