Victoria Mboko vs Jelena OstapenkoDoha Semi-final

Doha · WTA · Semi-final
#10WTA
2006ELO
2006Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Mboko V.
6-3 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Mboko V.
662
Ostapenko J.
320

Victoria Mboko defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-3 6-2 in the Doha semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Victoria Mboko came in ranked #10.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mboko V.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mboko V.

Serve advantage — Mboko V.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mboko V.Ostapenko J.
58
Serve
10
53
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
97
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
79
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+212 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1794
7.7Overall Elo 2006
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1855
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw

Semi-finals
Mboko V.[10]
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.[14]
Sakkari M.
3-66-46-1