Jacob Fearnley vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerDavis Cup QLS R1: NOR vs GBR Round Robin

Davis Cup QLS R1: NOR vs GBR · ATP · Round Robin
#123ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 5 February 2026
hard
#118ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
Fearnley J.
3-6 6-3 10-7
Budkov Kjaer N.
Fearnley J.
36102
Budkov Kjaer N.
6371

Jacob Fearnley defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 3-6 6-3 10-7 in the Davis Cup QLS R1: NOR vs GBR round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came in ranked #118.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fearnley J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Budkov Kjaer N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Serve advantage — Budkov Kjaer N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fearnley J.Budkov Kjaer N.
3
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
78
Break points won·Dominant
70
39
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
5.7+33 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
42
100

Fearnley J.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 139 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About