Mei Yamaguchi vs Polina Iatcenko — Mumbai 125 Round of 32

Mumbai 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
JPN
Mei Yamaguchi
#259WTA
1448ELO
1420Hard ELO
27 yrs · 152 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
hard
Polina Iatcenko
RUS
Polina Iatcenko
#150WTA
1605ELO
1567Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Yamaguchi M.
5-7 6-3 6-3
Iatcenko P.
Yamaguchi M.
5662
Iatcenko P.
7331

Mei Yamaguchi defeated Polina Iatcenko 5-7 6-3 6-3 in the Mumbai 125 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Polina Iatcenko came in ranked #150.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Yamaguchi M.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Iatcenko P.

Iatcenko P.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Yamaguchi M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Yamaguchi M.Iatcenko P.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yamaguchi M.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Iatcenko P.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1420
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1448
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1605
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Yamaguchi M.Iatcenko P.
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Yamaguchi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Iatcenko P.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Sawangkaew M.
Tagger L.
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Sawangkaew M.
Tararudee L.
6-23-66-1
Tagger L.
Tian F.
6-27-63
Quarter-finals
Tagger L.
Semenistaja D.
4-66-46-2
Sawangkaew M.
Prozorova T.
6-16-4
Tararudee L.
Jeanjean L.
4-66-36-2
Tian F.
Yamaguchi M.
6-22-66-2
R16
Jeanjean L.
Kuramochi M.
6-36-3
Tararudee L.
Park S.
3-66-36-0
Tagger L.
Shimizu E.
6-26-2
Semenistaja D.
Hontama M.
6-47-63
Sawangkaew M.
Matsuda M.
6-46-1
Prozorova T.
Sidorova K.
6-46-1
Yamaguchi M.
Kabbaj Y.
4-66-47-65
Tian F.
Vandewinkel H.
2-66-46-4
R32
Prozorova T.
Nugroho P.
6-26-1
Matsuda M.
Raina A.
6-46-0
Sawangkaew M.
Morvayova V.
6-26-1
Sidorova K.
Bhamidipaty S.
6-16-3
Jeanjean L.
Chaudhari V.
6-26-0
Kuramochi M.
Fossa Huergo N.
6-46-3
Tian F.
Saigo R.
6-06-3
Vandewinkel H.
Pawlikowska Z.
6-36-3
Hontama M.
Ibragimova A.
6-16-4
Park S.
Xu M.
6-10-0
Yamaguchi M.
Iatcenko P.
5-76-36-3
Kabbaj Y.
Plipuech P.
6-36-3
Tagger L.
Adkar V.
7-56-4
Shimizu E.
Yamalapalli S.
7-56-2
Semenistaja D.
Cherubini D.
6-36-1
Tararudee L.
Rajeshwaran Revathi M.
6-36-2