Nao Hibino vs Ye Xin Ma — W75 Brisbane Semi-final

W75 Brisbane · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Nao Hibino
JPN
Nao Hibino
#246WTA
1560ELO
1523Hard ELO
31 yrs · 163 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
hard
CHN
Ye Xin Ma
#193WTA
1450ELO
1441Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLW
Hibino N.
7-6 6-1
Ma Y.
Hibino N.
7762
Ma Y.
621–

Nao Hibino defeated Ye Xin Ma 7-6 6-1 in the W75 Brisbane semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ye Xin Ma came in ranked #193, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Nao Hibino came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Hibino N.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ma Y.

Ma Y.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Hibino N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Hibino N.Ma Y.
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Hibino N.Ma Y.
Clutch Rating·Even
53
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
39
54
Break points won·Slight edge
91
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
66
76
Tiebreaks·
81
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Hibino N.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Ma Y.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1441
5.3Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1450
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Hibino N.Ma Y.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Hibino N.: 18 days rest · Ma Y.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Gibson T.
Hibino N.
6-37-67
Jones E.
Zhu L.
6-47-5
Semi-finals
Hibino N.
Ma Y.
7-626-1
Gibson T.
Zhu L.
6-36-4
Jones E.
Gibson T.
3-67-646-3
Zhu L.
Preston T.
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Ma Y.
Jones E.
6-46-4
Hibino N.
Preston T.
3-66-27-5
Zhu L.
Saito S.
6-36-0
Gibson T.
Kinoshita H.
6-16-4
Preston T.
Abe H.
6-36-2
Zhu L.
Hibino N.
6-11-1
Jones E.
Kuramochi M.
6-22-66-1
Gibson T.
Ma Y.
6-46-3
R16
Zhu L.
Okamura K.
6-06-1
Hibino N.
Jang S.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Zhang Y.
6-26-1
Jones E.
Subasic A.
6-26-2
Preston T.
Cabrera L.
5-76-16-2
Ma Y.
Kawaguchi N.
6-16-3
Kinoshita H.
Abe H.
6-16-3
Saito S.
Sato N.
6-24-66-3
Kuramochi M.
Saito S.
2-66-46-3
Preston T.
Kinoshita H.
6-46-1
Jones E.
Jeong B.
7-57-63
Gibson T.
Sibai J.
6-26-0
Ma Y.
Fry S.
6-26-2
Zhu L.
Naito Y.
6-36-2
Hibino N.
Sema E.
6-06-4
Abe H.
Zhang Y.
6-46-2
R32
Subasic A.
Jeong B.
7-56-4
Jones E.
Yuan C.
6-26-1
Cabrera L.
Barry M.
3-66-26-4
Abe H.
Shibahara E.
6-16-1
Kinoshita H.
Naito Y.
6-46-1
Jang S.
Shek C.
4-66-37-67
Saito S.
Khan L.
6-26-2
Kawaguchi N.
Rokusek S.
6-26-2
Hibino N.
Da Silva Fick G.
6-46-1
Zhu L.
Micic E.
6-46-4
Preston T.
Zhang R.
6-16-0
Sato N.
Hanatani N.
6-26-2
Gibson T.
Sato H.
6-46-2
Zhang Y.
Fry S.
6-26-4
Okamura K.
Mildren S.
6-46-0
Ma Y.
Hule P.
6-746-17-5
Saito S.
Cabrera L.
6-767-56-4
Naito Y.
Thompson B.
7-56-4
Sema E.
Khan L.
6-27-63
Fry S.
Subasic A.
4-67-626-3
Abe H.
Shibahara E.
7-56-3
Preston T.
Shek C.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Wan I.
6-36-0
Jeong B.
Micic E.
6-26-2
Zhu L.
Tse E.
6-36-0
Kinoshita H.
Defalco J.
6-16-2
Kuramochi M.
Alame R.
6-06-3
Zhang Y.
Russell T.
6-16-1
Sibai J.
Sato N.
2-66-26-3
Ma Y.
Kawaguchi N.
6-06-0
Jones E.
Jang S.
6-46-4
Hibino N.
Da Silva Fick G.
6-16-2