Blake Ellis vs James Mccabe — Brisbane 1 CH Quarter-final

Brisbane 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
AUS
Blake Ellis
#472ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
hard
AUS4
James Mccabe
#242ATP
1532ELO
1481Hard ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Ellis B.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Mccabe J.
Ellis B.
66662
Mccabe J.
78431

Blake Ellis defeated James Mccabe 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Brisbane 1 CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — James Mccabe came in ranked #242, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ellis B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mccabe J.

Mccabe J.serving94% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Ellis B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Ellis B.Mccabe J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
32%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
10.8
9.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ellis B.Mccabe J.
Clutch Rating·Even
41
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
85
Break points won·Slight edge
3
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ellis B.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Mccabe J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1390
Surface ELO
5.3+91 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1532
5.4No prior meetings
H2H
4.6
5.8
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ellis B.Mccabe J.
Freshness·Even
90
94

Ellis B.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Mccabe J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Sweeny D.[5]
Schoolkate T.[2]
3-67-657-64
Semi-finals
Sweeny D.[5]
Uchiyama Y.[8]
6-36-3
Schoolkate T.[2]
Ellis B.
6-46-4
Quarter-finals
Sweeny D.[5]
Hewitt C.
6-16-1
Uchiyama Y.[8]
Bolt A.[3]
6-26-796-2
Schoolkate T.[2]
Sakamoto R.[6]
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Mccabe J.[4]
6-766-46-3
R16
Sakamoto R.[6]
Daniel T.
7-656-2
Schoolkate T.[2]
Tu L.
6-36-4
Hewitt C.
Nakagawa N.
6-43-66-1
Sweeny D.[5]
Sach T.
6-16-1
Bolt A.[3]
Shimizu Y.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Sun F.[7]
7-656-4
Uchiyama Y.[8]
Marinkov P.
6-43-66-1
Mccabe J.[4]
Hazawa S.
6-46-4
R32
Ellis B.
Shiraishi H.
7-657-66
Nakagawa N.
Walton A.[1]
4-66-36-4
Hewitt C.
Matsuoka H.
6-37-65
Sach T.
Jasika O.
6-47-66
Bolt A.[3]
Denolly C.
4-66-36-2
Shimizu Y.
Tokuda R.
7-641-66-4
Marinkov P.
Blanch D.
7-653-66-3
Sakamoto R.[6]
Sekulic P.
6-36-4
Daniel T.
Delaney J.
6-37-5
Tu L.
Hulme M.
3-66-37-5
Schoolkate T.[2]
Bouzige M.
7-646-2
Sweeny D.[5]
Mitsui S.
3-2
Uchiyama Y.[8]
Moriya H.
6-26-1
Sun F.[7]
Jorda Sanchis D.
6-46-3
Hazawa S.
Dellavedova M.
6-26-2
Mccabe J.[4]
Isomura K.
6-26-3