Kayla Day vs Mary StoianaW50 Orlando FL Quarter-final

W50 Orlando FL · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#126WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
hard
#124WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Day K.
6-3 0-6 7-6
Stoiana M.
Day K.
60772
Stoiana M.
36641

Kayla Day defeated Mary Stoiana 6-3 0-6 7-6 in the W50 Orlando FL quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mary Stoiana came in ranked #124, but Kayla Day had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

  • Match story: Kayla Day closed it out in three sets, 6–3 0–6 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Day K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Stoiana M.

Stoiana M.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Day K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1567
5.2Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1656
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
6.8
Surface form
4.9
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
69

Day K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Stoiana M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast