Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno BustaMontpellier Round of 16

Montpellier · ATP · Round of 16
#58ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
hard
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Griekspoor T.
6-4 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Griekspoor T.
662
Carreno Busta P.
440

Tallon Griekspoor defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 6-4 in the Montpellier round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tallon Griekspoor came in ranked #58, defending last year's quarter-final. Tallon Griekspoor extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Tallon Griekspoor edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31MarrakechR16clayTallon Griekspoor7-6(1) 3-6 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardPablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Griekspoor T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Griekspoor T.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Griekspoor T.Carreno Busta P.
51
Serve
21
0
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
78
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
34
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
80
Tiebreaks·Even
97
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1744
5.8Overall Elo 1789
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
0.0
5.1
Country comfort
5.5
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Griekspoor T.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 82%