Alex Bolt vs Yuta ShimizuBrisbane 1 CH Round of 16

Brisbane 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#166ATP
1588ELO
1541Hard ELO
$125kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
hard
#371ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWW
Bolt A.
6-3 6-4
Shimizu Y.
Bolt A.
662
Shimizu Y.
340

Alex Bolt defeated Yuta Shimizu 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane 1 CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex Bolt came in ranked #166, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Bolt closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bolt A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shimizu Y.

Shimizu Y.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bolt A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
22
Break points saved·Dominant
93
65
Break points won·Even
7
9
Deciding sets·Clear edge
46
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
58

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+124 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1417
7.3Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1446
2.7No prior meetings
H2H
7.3
4.2
Surface form
3.4
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Bolt A.: 21 days rest · Shimizu Y.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast