Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Facundo Diaz AcostaRosario CH Round of 16

Rosario CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
clay
#110ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$264kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
5-7 6-4 7-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Ugo Carabelli C.
56772
Diaz Acosta F.
74641

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Facundo Diaz Acosta 5-7 6-4 7-6 in the Rosario CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending the title. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-27SantiagoQ1clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4
2021-02-22CordobaQ2clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli4-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Diaz Acosta F.

Diaz Acosta F.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Diaz Acosta F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Diaz Acosta F.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
58
Break points saved·Even
90
89
Break points won·Dominant
62
33
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
67
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+72 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1668
7.1Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1681
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.4
Surface form
3.2
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
47

Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Diaz Acosta F.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 100 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast