Simona Waltert vs Daria KasatkinaAbu Dhabi Round of 32

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 32
#90WTA
1670ELO
1606Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 1 February 2026
hard
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Waltert S.
7-6 3-6 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Waltert S.
77362
Kasatkina D.
65641

Simona Waltert defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-6 3-6 6-4 in the Abu Dhabi round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

  • Match story: Simona Waltert closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Waltert S.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Waltert S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Waltert S.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Service points won·Even
56%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
78
Break points saved·Even
79
80
Break points won·Slight edge
94
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Hard Elo 1606
Surface ELO
6.9+151 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1670
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1795
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
2.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
89

Waltert S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 66 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 58%