Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Paula BadosaAbu Dhabi Round of 32

Abu Dhabi · WTA · Round of 32
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 1 February 2026
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Sasnovich A.
6-4 3-6 6-1
Badosa P.
Sasnovich A.
6362
Badosa P.
4611

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Paula Badosa 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the Abu Dhabi round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Paula Badosa came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Aliaksandra Sasnovich claimed a first win over Paula Badosa in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aliaksandra Sasnovich came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR128hardPaula Badosa7-5 6-3
2022-05-09RomeR32clayPaula Badosa6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Serve advantage — Sasnovich A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Badosa P.
37
Serve
21
35
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
39%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
7.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
93
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
95
Break points won·Even
93
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1697
Surface ELO
5.4+51 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1780
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
64

Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 58%